Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?
IAOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 65.9%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado14 dic 25, 12:37 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
YES if a major, new AI model (released within 6 months) correctly predicts the final outcome of this specific market when prompted with the market text 90 days after its launch.
- Otherwise, NO.
- Update 2026-01-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the AI model predicts NO, creating a logical paradox where no consistent resolution exists, the creator will resolve the market to N/A (canceling the market and returning all mana to traders).
