Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 79.9%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado31 jul 24, 2:04 UTC1 ene 27, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.
- The current conservative justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.
- Resolves NO if the next justice to leave is not one of these conservative justices.
- The question will resolve once the next justice officially vacates their post.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative??
- Está previsto que Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.