Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:37 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.9%
Pronosticadores
51
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado10 abr 26, 2:57 UTC1 ene 27, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
KalshiWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date?
LimitlessWill Samuel Alito leave the Supreme Court before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurWill Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Leaving for any reason counts - resignation (effective in 2026), death, impeachment, etc.
