¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the life expectancy of a newborn baby be above 100 years at any point by 2060??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 62.7% a fecha de 31 de octubre de 2026.

Will the life expectancy of a newborn baby be above 100 years at any point by 2060?

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Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 62.7%

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binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

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Actualizado hace 1 minuto

25 oct 23, 18:47 UTC1 ene 61, 5:59 UTC

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Resultado24hProbabilidad

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As in "babies born this year in [country] have a life expectancy of 100 years"; not regarding an individual baby with, say, the right genes.

Will resolve yes if, at any point up through 2060, there is a country where the expected longevity of a newborn is 100 years or more, as confirmed by longevity experts.