Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 75.1%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado11 jul 24, 12:24 UTC18 ene 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Restore UK and Reform UK merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?
Manifold MarketsWhat Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiReglas
Will the UK Conservative and Reform parties merge or cooperate closely before the end of the next election?
- Criteria and examples:
- During the next election campaign, if parties withdraw candidates or selectively place candidates to support each other winning more votes, this resolves YES
- If there is a (semi-)formal agreement to support each others' activities in parliament during this cycle, resolves YES
- YES: A formal agreement is established to support each others actions or vote in the same way
- YES: The leadership announce an agreement to support each others actions or votes in the same way (the intention here is to avoid being hung up on having a 'signed piece of paper')
