Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 56.5%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado8 feb 26, 4:59 UTC30 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution Criteria
- The next Australian federal election is scheduled to occur between May and September 2028.
- This market resolves YES if the Liberal-National Coalition formally splits at a Federal level (i.e., the Nationals formally withdraw from the Coalition agreement) at any point before the next federal election.
- Conditions for Resolution:
- - The split must be announced by official party leadership (Liberal or National).
- - The split must be reported by major Australian news outlets (e.g., ABC, SMH, The Australian).
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Coalition next split before the next election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Coalition next split before the next election??
- Está previsto que Will the Coalition next split before the next election? se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Coalition next split before the next election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria