Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónAjedrezDeportes1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 51.4%
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12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado22 jul 25, 11:40 UTC25 sept 28, 11:37 UTC
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ForecastExReglas
The next federal election to elect the 49th Parliament of Australia must occur before the 23rd of September, 2028.
- If the ALP gets a majority of seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise NO.
- To be clear, because they have to win a majority of seats for this market to resolve to YES, even if they form a minority government (e.g. as they did in 2010) with the help of crossbenchers declaring support on confidence and supply, this market will still resolve to NO.
