Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?
PolíticaOne-OffChessUS PoliticsElecciónDeportes1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.4%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado23 jun 26, 16:16 UTC31 may 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PolymarketNext German federal election winner?
KalshiNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiReglas
The next federal election to elect the 49th Parliament of Australia must occur before the 23rd of September, 2028.
- If One Nation gets a majority of seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise NO.
- To be clear, because they have to win a majority of seats for this market to resolve to YES, even if they form a minority government (e.g. as Labor did in 2010) with the help of crossbenchers declaring support on confidence and supply, this market will still resolve to NO.