Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualJim Chalmers 43.9%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado1 nov 23, 8:23 UTC31 dic 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
The ALP leader has historically always been a serving member of the House of Representatives.
- This market will only resolve to named individual people.
- This market will not resolve to an acting leader, unless they become the permanent leader.
- If no change of leadership occurs by the closing date, it will be extended.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Jim Chalmers al 44% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party??
- Está previsto que Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The ALP leader has historically always been a serving member of the House of Representatives.