Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 81.4%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado22 ago 26, 22:07 UTC15 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
PolymarketHow active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?
Manifold MarketsWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
Manifold MarketsWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if the National Hurricane Center has designated at least THREE (3) distinct Atlantic basin tropical cyclones as hurricanes during the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with the hurricane designation issued at or before 23:59 UTC on October 15, 2026.
- RESOLUTION SOURCE: National Hurricane Center (nhc.noaa.gov) — public advisories and the NHC 2026 Atlantic season archive.
- A storm counts once it is carried at hurricane intensity (maximum sustained winds >= 64 kt / 74 mph) in an NHC advisory or in the post-season Tropical Cyclone Report.
- Subtropical storms do not count unless NHC classifies them at hurricane intensity.
- Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific storms do not count.
- Each named storm counts at most once, regardless of how many times it strengthens.
Mercados abiertos
Space
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 81% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15??
- Está previsto que Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15? se resuelva el 15 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the National Hurricane Center has designated at least THREE (3) distinct Atlantic basin tropical cyclones as hurricanes during the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with the hurricane designation issued at or before 23:59 UTC on October 15, 2026.