How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
6.5 pts (24h)WeatherOne-Off3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
1-3 48.4%+0.5ptLíder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
762,7 €
Liquidez
5,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+25.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
28 jul 26, 20:51 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
- A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
- This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
- The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
