Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 98.3%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado16 dic 25, 6:04 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Stoke Space successfully launches a rocket to space (reaching at least 100 km altitude) by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from Stoke Space, FAA records, or credible space industry sources.
- The market resolves NO if no spaceflight is achieved by the deadline.
- Stoke Space Technologies is an American space launch company based in Kent, Washington, founded by former Blue Origin and SpaceX employees.
- Nova is a fully reusable medium-lift launch vehicle with an expected payload capacity of 3 tons to low Earth orbit, with the first stage performing a return-to-launch-site landing.
