Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2030/01/01 88.9%Líder entre 15 opciones
2030/01/01 88.9%Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 24, 22:53 UTC2 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Each date resolves YES if a Starship that had flown to space (>100km altitude) returns to Earth in one piece, and then flies to space again, before that date, using local time at the launch site.
- Inspired by this market by the venerable @chrisjbillington, but with more dates https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/first-reflight-of-a-spaceflown-star
- Edit 1/8/2024: Changed responses to YYYY/MM/DD for easier sorting