Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore 2030 61.1%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-9.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado30 mar 24, 14:21 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
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KalshiReglas
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface).
- It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
- Similar question about launch and landing:
- @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
- My other questions about Starship milestones:
