Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 96.7%
Pronosticadores
175
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado7 feb 23, 18:16 UTC1 ene 28, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
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KalshiReglas
"To Mars" just means that the target of the mission is, in some meaningful sense, the planet Mars.
- It doesn't have to be a landing; an orbit around the planet or a close flyby also qualify.
- However simply going out past Mars's orbital distance from the sun, while not actually approaching the planet itself, does not count.
- "Send" means that a rocket lifted off the launchpad for that target.
- A mission that is simply scheduled for the future does not count.
- A mission that lifts off and then blows up 2 feet above the launch pad still counts.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
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- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
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- 1,1 M €
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
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- Volumen 24h
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: "To Mars" just means that the target of the mission is, in some meaningful sense, the planet Mars.