Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffCiencia4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.1%
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Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado7 sept 25, 4:45 UTC1 feb 27, 0:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Simplex Progress Report - July 2025 is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.