Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffSociety & Culture4m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 58%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado8 feb 25, 11:42 UTC1 feb 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post So You Want To Make Marginal Progress... is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.