Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
One-OffTecnologíaIA3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 66%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado10 ene 24, 12:39 UTC1 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas.
- For self-driving I'll use SAE level 3.
- https://www.sae.org/binaries/content/gallery/cm/content/news/sae-blog/j3016graphic_2021.png
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 66% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030??
- Está previsto que Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas.