Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 61.2%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado28 abr 26, 17:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
Manifold MarketsScott Alexander receives another critical newspaper profile by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketReglas
The post has to be specifically about the cluster of people who are mostly researching LLM preferences/behaviors in an unconventional way (advocating for the preservation of access to older models, evaluating their well-being, running act i-like discords and similar) Examples of people in this cluster: janus, anthrupad, aitechnopagan, tessera_antra
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 61% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year??
- Está previsto que Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The post has to be specifically about the cluster of people who are mostly researching LLM preferences/behaviors in an unconventional way (advocating for the preservation of access to older models, evaluating their well-being, running act i-like discords and similar) Examples of people in this cluster: janus, anthrupad, aitechnopagan, tessera_antra