Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year?

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 61.2% a fecha de 24 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year??

Está previsto que Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.

¿Cómo se liquida Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The post has to be specifically about the cluster of people who are mostly researching LLM preferences/behaviors in an unconventional way (advocating for the preservation of access to older models, evaluating their well-being, running act i-like discords and similar) Examples of people in this cluster: janus, anthrupad, aitechnopagan, tessera_antra

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-4.0pt77%
• December 15,-4.5pt74%
• November 30,-2.5pt65%

+9 resultados más

Volumen total

4,9 M €

Volumen 24h

95,1 mil €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202792%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+4.5pt27.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.2pt19.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.9pt18.3%

+7 resultados más

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.1pt91%
• Anthropic-2.5pt8%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 resultados más

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.2pt49.6%
• Gemini38%
• ChatGPT-0.3pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+0.5pt20%
• 2028+2.0pt17%
• 2027+2.0pt9%

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