Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?
5.5 pts (24h)One-OffSociedad y culturaEntretenimiento2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualStorm Of Steel 19.5%+5.5ptLíder entre 53 opciones
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+14.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado4 jun 26, 5:25 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will "Power Lies Trembling: a three-book review" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander write a book review of Finnegans Wake?
Manifold MarketsWill Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
Manifold Markets60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
KalshiMrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
KalshiReglas
Resolves to whoever gets whoever scott declares as winner of the 2026 ACX Book contest.
- If your favorite book review isn't here, you can add it.
