Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 91.1%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado14 mar 26, 21:10 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Poland officially completes its withdrawal from the European Union (per Article 50 of the TEU) before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution requires either a ratified withdrawal agreement or the expiration of the two-year notification period.
- The market resolves to NO if Poland remains a member state through December 31, 2029.
- Market Background: The 2026 Crisis
- While the 2023 elections brought a pro-EU coalition to power under Donald Tusk, the political landscape shifted dramatically following the June 2025 Presidential Election.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria