Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (97.2%)
Resuelto: 10 oct 2026, 19:49
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 11 oct 2026, 11:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Tendencias
Ganada
Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if OpenAI officially releases a product, service, or feature that is classified as a fully autonomous AI agent before July 1, 2027.
- For the purposes of this market, an autonomous AI agent is defined as an AI system capable of executing multi-step tasks, navigating web browsers, or interacting with software interfaces to achieve user-defined goals with a high degree of independence (i.e., without requiring continuous human-in-the-loop prompts for every step).
- Note on existing products: OpenAI has already released several products with autonomous agentic capabilities, including:
- Operator (released January 2025)
- ChatGPT Agent (released July 2025)
