Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.9%
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado21 abr 26, 14:05 UTC20 oct 27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
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- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
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+5 resultados más
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- 9,1 M €
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??
- Está previsto que Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? se resuelva el 20 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":