¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de [Metaculus] Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 78.7% a fecha de 26 de octubre de 2026.

[Metaculus] Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 78.7%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 minutos

12 oct 23, 22:35 UTC2 ene 28, 23:58 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if Cargill, Tyson Foods, Hormel, Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, or any of their parent companies file for bankruptcy by January 1, 2028, according to credible financial media reports.
This question will resolve positively if Cargill, Tyson Foods or Hormel (or any of their parent companies) submits a court filing seeking bankruptcy protection under any provision of the United States Bankruptcy Code, or if Muyuan Foods or Wens Foodstuff Group (or any of their parent companies) apply for bankruptcy proceedings in China.
It will also resolve positively if Kerry Group applies for bankruptcy proceedings in Ireland, JBS in Brazil, the WH Group in Hong Kong, Mowi ASA in Norway, or the Marubeni Corporation in Japan.