Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72%
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado7 mar 24, 3:55 UTC2 ene 40, 7:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves yes if OpenAI has a valuation (from a funding round etc.) or market cap greater than Microsoft at any point before Jan. 1st 2040.
- If the corporate structure of either company changes, the question will not necessarily resolve to No. I will lean towards counting any new structures the same as the old ones if they broadly contain similar AI assets/capabilities.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 72% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040??
- Está previsto que Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves yes if OpenAI has a valuation (from a funding round etc.) or market cap greater than Microsoft at any point before Jan. 1st 2040.