Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027?
RegulaciónIAOne-OffCorporate ActionsTecnología1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.1%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado11 may 26, 16:21 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Apple purchase a controlling share of Tesla by 2028?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill JPMorgan acquire any company before 2028?
KalshiWill SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This question resolves YES if, on or before 2027-12-31, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Alphabet, or one of their controlled subsidiaries:
- acquires a registered broker-dealer,
- takes a controlling equity stake in a broker-dealer,
- obtains majority voting control of a broker-dealer, or
- otherwise assumes operational control of a broker-dealer.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 182,3 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 resultados más
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027??
- Está previsto que Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria