Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 57%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado1 dic 23, 4:51 UTC1 ene 29, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
PolymarketWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
KalshiWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
LimitlessWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
FutuurReglas
Resolves to YES if 9 or more of the 13 current official members of OPEC either leave the organization or stop adhering to production quotas (for >1 year) by Dec. 31, 2028.
- Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update:
- No Production Quotas: If OPEC continues as an organization but no quotas are issued, that situation will be treated as equivalent to members having stopped adhering to production quotas.
- Resolution Impact: This interpretation applies when determining if at least 9 of the 13 OPEC members meet the criteria for dissolving the organization.