Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.7%
Pronosticadores
42
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado11 abr 26, 23:35 UTC31 dic 27, 14:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
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Primary source: https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-mythos-latest-ai-model-too-powerful-to-be-released-2026-4?utm_source=chatgpt.com
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if:
- Anthropic releases a model explicitly named "Claude Mythos" (or simply "Mythos") to the public.
- Version numbers do not matter.
- (So "Claude Mythos 5.0" will still count)
Mercados abiertos
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- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos??
- Está previsto que Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Primary source: https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-mythos-latest-ai-model-too-powerful-to-be-released-2026-4?utm_source=chatgpt.com