Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030?
One-OffCiencia3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 89.2%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado9 dic 24, 23:25 UTC2 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if a super-majority (2/3rds) of cosmologists and / or theoretical physicists agree one way or the other, according to a reputable survey, on or before the year 2030.
- If no "reputable" survey exists by the end date, then the market will resolve as NO.
- Reputable surveys have at least 100 responses and are performed by a reputable organization.
- "A version" of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis is defined as any "theory of everything" where "the universe is a mathematical object in and of itself".
- Some info on the mathematical universe hypothesis can be found here.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030??
- Está previsto que Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if a super-majority (2/3rds) of cosmologists and / or theoretical physicists agree one way or the other, according to a reputable survey, on or before the year 2030.