Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 21:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 79.7%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado30 mar 23, 13:58 UTC31 dic 27, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a human land on Phobos or Deimos before a human lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill MMX successfully return samples from Phobos to Earth?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship successfully land for the first time?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketReglas
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martian_Moons_eXploration_(MMX)
- https://www.mmx.jaxa.jp/en/
- Successful landing will be defined as the spacecraft being able to send and receive information.
- https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-mmx-successfully-return-sample
