Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 12:56 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Before 2028-01-01 95.5%Líder entre 32 opciones
Before 2028-01-01 95.5%Pronosticadores
84
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado6 jun 24, 17:44 UTC1 ene 28, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
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FutuurSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurReglas
In June 2024 SpaceX demonstrated successful descent for both first and second stages of the Starship rocket.
- The potential next stage would be to try to land one or both stages.
- This market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX manages to land the second stage of Starship rocket after an orbital or suborbital flight.
- The spacecraft has to be landed on land and in one piece.
- It should presumably be captured by the launch tower, but other ways of landing on land or on a barge would also qualify.
- The rocket can sustain some damage, but the payload has to stay intact.
