Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20261m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.4%
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11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado3 jul 26, 19:16 UTC24 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves based on
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on December 24, 2026 (Christmas Eve), Mitch McConnell's Class II U.S. Senate seat representing Kentucky is officially vacant.
- It will resolve to NO if the seat is occupied by Mitch McConnell or any successor who has been officially sworn in to fill the seat by that date.
- A vacancy exists if Mitch McConnell has died, resigned, been expelled, or otherwise officially vacated his office before December 24, 2026, and no successor has been officially sworn in and seated in the U.S. Senate to replace him by 11:59 PM EST on December 24, 2026.
- If Mitch McConnell remains the sitting Senator for Kentucky as of December 24, 2026, this market will resolve to NO.