Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
25.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS Politics5m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualSí 54%-0.3%
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
43 mil €
Liquidez
42,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
53.0% / 55.0%
Spread
3.8%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
-14.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
17 oct 25, 21:263 ene 27, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes54%
Referencia CoinRithm33%· 2 plataformas· ±21 pts
SíNoMANIFOLD MARKETS
SíNo
KALSHI
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
6m
70%
30%
Pronóstico comunitario118 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total9,7 mil €
Volumen 24h155,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Kalshi
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
7.0%3m
-7.0%33%
67%
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total378,8 mil €
Volumen 24h65,6 mil €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S.
- Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$49.1k2 jul7d de datos8 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S.
- Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S.