Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.RegulaciónAcciones2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.9%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
7 jun 26, 22:18 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if a U.S. federal law is officially enacted (either signed by the President or passed via congressional veto override) on or before December 31, 2026, that legally prohibits members of the U.S. House of Representatives and/or the U.S. Senate from buying and/or selling individual, publicly traded stocks.
- To resolve the market to YES, the legislation must satisfy the following conditions:
- Enactment Date: The law must be officially enacted before January 1, 2027.
- The implementation or grace period for compliance (e.g., divestment deadlines) can extend beyond this date, as long as the bill is codified into law before the cutoff.
- Allowed Exemptions: A law will still qualify for a YES resolution if it permits members of Congress to invest in diversified assets (e.g., mutual funds, ETFs, index funds, treasury bills) or to utilize qualified blind trusts.
