Will 5 Republican members of Congress call for Trump to resign before the end of 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 7:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 90%
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16
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 25, 22:25 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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If 5 or more Republican members of Congress give statements that, by my judgment, constitute a call for Trump to resign, by the end of 2025, this will resolve YES.
- Independent members of Congress caucusing with the Republicans do not count.
- Senators or Representatives.
- Current, not former (could be in lame duck session).
- Any statements from before market creation do not count.
- If Trump DOES resign (or announce he is going to resign), and 5+ Republican members of Congress release statements affirming / commending / supporting this decision, that will qualify to resolve this YES as well.