If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Congress ban its members from trading individual stocks before Jan 3, 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 2026RegulaciónPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 67.2%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado7 oct 26, 2:50 UTC3 ene 29, 17:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if a law is enacted before January 3, 2029 that prohibits members of Congress from buying or selling individual stocks (a requirement to divest or use a qualified blind trust counts), even if it takes effect later.
- A House or Senate rule alone does not count.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
