If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 63.9%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado7 oct 26, 2:05 UTC3 ene 29, 17:00 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the House impeach Trump again?
PredictItWho will the House impeach first before 2028?
KalshiWill the House impeach a federal judge this year?
KalshiReglas
Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if the U.S. House adopts at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump between January 3, 2027 and January 3, 2029 (inclusive).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
