Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 58.9%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado19 feb 26, 22:45 UTC31 mar 27, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
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PolymarketReglas
This market estimates McArthur River's 2026 production (100% basis).
- The market settles on March 31, 2027 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate McArthur River's production (100% basis) for 2026 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026
- YES if: 2026 production (100% basis) ≥16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
- NO if: 2026 production (100% basis) <16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 59% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Está previsto que Will McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? se resuelva el 31 de marzo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market estimates McArthur River's 2026 production (100% basis).