Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 52.8%
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado15 jun 23, 5:53 UTC2 ene 27, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
FutuurBrazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiReglas
Resolves to NO if he does not run
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
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- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- Está previsto que Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to NO if he does not run