FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 85%
No 85%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baja liquidezTraders
10
Comentarios
1
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This event predicts whether any minister serving in President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s administration will be arrested at any time during calendar year 2026.
- For this market, arrest means being formally detained by law enforcement authorities, regardless of whether the individual is still in office at the time of arrest.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by Brazilian judicial or law enforcement authorities.
- If any minister from Lula’s administration is formally arrested during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Investigations, indictments, or questioning without detention will not count.
