Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónAmérica Latina6d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 62.8%
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2
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 11 minutos
2 may 24, 13:02 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
The Brazilian municipal elections will take place in October 2024.
- A lot of attention is gathered around the São Paulo mayoral elections, as it is the biggest city in the country and can be a thermometer for the general public's political sentiment.
- Will the result of the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 presidential elections?
- The market resolves to YES if the results of both elections mimic each other, i.e., if a left-wing, right-wing, or centrist candidate is elected in both.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
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