Will "LLMs are (still) mostly powered by imitative ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffIA1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.3%
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Retrasado25 jul 26, 18:36 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post LLMs are (still) mostly powered by imitative learning, not RL is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
