Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028?
IAOne-OffTecnología2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 55.6%
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1
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado18 jun 26, 15:10 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, as of December 31, 2028, at least half of the top 15 of all evaluated individuals by average Elo rating across the language models tracked on the Center for AI Safety (CAIS) AI Values Dashboard (https://values.safe.ai/) or the best replication of it are pro AI safety.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Current top rated AI safety people include:
- Yoshua Bengio
- Stuart Russell
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 56% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028??
- Está previsto que Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria