Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (99%)
Resuelto: 13 ago 2026, 8:44
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 99%
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 días
Desactualizado16 jul 26, 20:3812 ago 26, 23:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
Reglas
Resolves YES if it's possible for a normal person to get hold of the weights of Kimi K3 (a leaked torrent counts; applying for access, if there are no leaks, doesn't).
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 158,8 mil €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 168,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 155,2 mil €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,9 M €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Kimi K3 be open source on the 13th August??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 99% a fecha de 14 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Kimi K3 be open source on the 13th August??
- Está previsto que Will Kimi K3 be open source on the 13th August? se resuelva el 12 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Kimi K3 be open source on the 13th August??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if it's possible for a normal person to get hold of the weights of Kimi K3 (a leaked torrent counts; applying for access, if there are no leaks, doesn't).