Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 66.2%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado3 may 25, 6:34 UTC30 abr 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kemi Badenoch holds the official title of Leader of the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom on May 1, 2027.
- If she does not hold this position on that date, the market will resolve to "No." The determination will be based on official announcements from the Conservative Party or reputable news sources.
- Kemi Badenoch became the Leader of the Conservative Party on November 2, 2024, succeeding Rishi Sunak after the party's significant defeat in the July 2024 general election.
- As the first Black woman to lead a major UK political party, Badenoch has pledged to renew the party by focusing on traditional Conservative values and preparing for the next general election, expected by 2029.
- The local elections on May 1, 2025, resulted in significant losses for the Conservative Party, with Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, making substantial gains.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 66% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027? se resuelva el 30 de abril de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria: