KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 86%
Calidad del mercado
53 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
43 €
Liquidez
3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
9.2% / 14.0%
Spread
4.8 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
3 ene 26, 15:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year
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KalshiReglas
If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
- An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
- This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
- Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
- Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader??
- Está previsto que Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.