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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. US Politics
  3. Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?

Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?

One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaIA1a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí
Sí 13.9%
Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores

25

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 días

Desactualizado
9 nov 24, 15:3717 ene 28, 6:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes14%

Reglas

This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.

Manifold Markets
  • Terms for the Market
  • Notable Integration:
  • Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
  • Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
  • Qualifying Political Figure:

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$65,463.83-1.39%EthereumETH$1,783.69+0.48%SolanaSOL$73.08-2.06%DogecoinDOGE$0.0868-0.95%BNBBNB$606.10-1.54%XRPXRP$1.21-2.22%

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Reglas

This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.

Manifold Markets
  • Terms for the Market
  • Notable Integration:
  • Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
  • Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
  • Qualifying Political Figure: