Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 27 oct 2026, 6:35 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 75.4%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado27 abr 26, 3:00 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if JD Vance undergoes any cosmetic surgical procedure on his jaw or face (including, but not limited to, jawline contouring, chin augmentation, rhytidectomy/facelift, or blepharoplasty) between the date of this market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) or official statements from JD Vance or his authorized representatives confirming the procedure.
- If it is ambiguous whether a procedure is "cosmetic" (e.g., reconstructive surgery following an injury or medically necessary corrective surgery), the market will resolve to "No" unless the surgeon or official sources explicitly characterize the procedure as cosmetic.
- If no such confirmation is available by the resolution date, the market resolves to "No."
- JD Vance, currently serving as a U.S. Senator from Ohio and the Vice President-elect of the United States, has faced public speculation regarding his appearance as his national profile has increased.
