Will JD Vance be president of the United States at any point before the end of January 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80%
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado28 feb 25, 4:19 UTC1 feb 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the gop ticket in 2028 be Jd Vance for President, Marco Rubio for vice president?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be physically present in the White House at any point on January 21st 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill JD Vance ever be president?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Update 2025-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Temporary Presidencies Excluded:
- If JD Vance serves as president solely due to a temporary or acting capacity (such as a brief succession triggered by another president’s incapacitation), that scenario will not be counted.
- Only cases where JD Vance assumes the presidency in a permanent or constitutionally recognized manner will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
