Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 61.8%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado15 jul 24, 22:34 UTC1 ene 34, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 62% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033??
- Está previsto que Will JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2034.